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anonymunchy on 03 May 2023
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javi741 said:
Wman1996 said:

@javi741
I don't see Switch 2 coming out at any point this year, but I don't find 2024 unlikely. When is the last time Nintendo has been this silent about their second half of the year when we're already a third of the year into the year? If this is a common occurrence for them, please correct me.
We only have Pikmin 4 in July for the entire second half of the year. Metroid Prime 4 probably isn't releasing in 2023, but maybe Detective Pikachu will release this year. And I'm sure there's at least one first-party game for this year that is still unannounced. But assuming we only get about 2-3 first-party games after Zelda, why would Nintendo have such a sluggish second half of the year unless a successor is launching in 2024? I know Tears of the Kingdom is huge, Fire Emblem Engage has been successful, and Pikmin 4 will succeed. But it just seems like a sparse second half if a successor is waiting until 2025 or beyond.

In 2020, Nintendo didn't announce their games for the 2nd half of the year til September 2020 when they announced Mario 3D All Stars was releasing two weeks later and they later also announced Age of Calamity late in 2020 as well, also other games like Pikimin 3 Deluxe. It isn't new for Nintendo to announce their 2nd half later in the year, and it would make sense why Nintendo would want to do that cause they want all the hype and fanfare focused on Tears of the Kingdom, cause if Nintendo announced other major titles in the 2nd half of the year, some potential TOTK consumers might skip it just to save up for the 2nd half games.

This is also far from the first time we've seen pretty empty 2nd half for a Nintendo console.

I'm not ruling out a 2024 release. However, the earliest I could foresee the successor releasing is the 2nd half of 2024, I think late 2023 and early 2024 are out of the equation to be honest. I'm more leaning to a 2025 release and potentially later.

I also think the earliest for a true new console is going to be early 2025, though they could probably stretch it to early 2026. People online tend to forget we're in a tiny bubble. Most people really don't care about cutting edge graphics. They just want fun games and game sales have remained high throughout the past year. 

We've also been spoiled by insanely high console sales the past years, which lead to people online shouting for a successor after sales dropped below 20 million for the first time in years. The second the switch was not the best selling console of the month Nintendo needs to replace the system.

I do see the possibility of another Switch revision, a pro model if you will, releasing this year, with AI upscaling of older titles, a definitive Switch. As I also believe when they do release a new console it's going to again change the way we interact with games.