If there isn't a new Mario game for fall 2023 at least, something is definitely up, they are probably purposefully sitting on a near completed game for the next system or something has gone wonky in the development or they're doing something crazy with it (VR?).
I just can't see them releasing the Mario movie and then not having a Mario game this year, but stranger things have happened.
EAD Tokyo is way too quiet and it's been way too many years since they've released a game.