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If there isn't a new Mario game for fall 2023 at least, something is definitely up, they are probably purposefully sitting on a near completed game for the next system or something has gone wonky in the development or they're doing something crazy with it (VR?).

I just can't see them releasing the Mario movie and then not having a Mario game this year, but stranger things have happened.

EAD Tokyo is way too quiet and it's been way too many years since they've released a game.