Slownenberg on 26 January 2023
Only way it drops 30% down to 2017/2018 levels is if Nintendo literally has nothing else coming out besides FE, Kirby, Zelda, and Pikmin and are taking no other action to help sales and are just fully focused on moving to the next-gen like early next year. Which is all incredibly unlikely.
Considering the fact that they are planning to increase production off a 19.5m year it's almost guaranteed they've got a bunch more games coming out this year and maybe some price cut action planned for the year.
20% drop to 3.8m is reasonable.
