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Considering Xbox Series sold around 9.5m in 2022, with no big exclusives and still limited stock, while 2023 will have better stock and at least 3 AAA exclusives (Forza Motorsport, Redfall, and Starfield), I'm going to go with 12-12.9m. Starfield alone should be able to move at least a couple million more Xbox consoles than were sold last year, the 2 most recent Bethesda games both sold over 10m copies on PS platforms (Skyrim sold like 7m on PS3 plus probably 5m+ on PS4, while VGChartz is tracking about 8m physical PS4 copies for Fallout 4 as of about 4 years ago, between digital and later life physical I would guess Fallout 4 sold at least 13m on PS4), but now the latest Bethesda game won't be on PS5 at all, stands to reason that a couple million Playstation gamers will buy an Xbox Series at some point this year just to play Starfield (especially if it reviews well) while other PS gamers will either play it on PC, play it on xCloud, or skip it. The cheaper S model is perfect for PS gamers looking for a secondary or tertiary console, and if the S has a repeat of the $250 Holiday deal from last year this Holiday, or possibly even less than $250 or an S bundle with Starfield at $250 for the Holiday, it will be and even better deal for PS gamers.

Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 25 January 2023