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Wman1996 said:
Garrus said:

Now is Nintendo's opportunity to release a powerful home console for a very low price. An RTX 4050 console for $250 (like a newer Series S). Release a new Switch at the same time so you can play portable and at home. Get 200 million console sales of the two products together.

If they even bothered to do that, they would need to share a library. After the SNES, Nintendo's only home console that matched or exceeded sales expectations was the Wii. 

Nintendo has made plenty of risky or foolish decisions in the past, and making another home console would be one of those. And I highly doubt 200 million would happen, whether two SKUs at launch or two separate platforms. 

Switch probably won't sell above 160 million, and it might not even hit 150 million or above. The Switch successor, whether hybrid or with a home console option, will probably not sell above 115 million. There's a good chance it stops at 100 million or a little under.

And if Nintendo outright abandons the hybrid out of the box model, I see this happening.

Next home console: 34-38 million

Next handheld: 68-72 million

Um Switch is at 120+ closing out 2022 with Nintendo clearly expecting they can sell just as much in 2023 (and why wouldn’t they with all the Zelda hype and surely a new Mario at some point this year with the movie creating hype there)? Switch will be knocking at or past 140m at this point next year, there is 0% chance it’s not hitting 150, no new model required. Very slim chance it doesn’t beat PS2 as well, they’d have to release the successor in q1 2024 for that to not happen, and like I already said no way they’re doing that.

But yes, abandoning hybrid would be stupid for next Gen, but I give it an extremely low chance that actually happens.