So according to a report to Bloomberg, Nintendo is actually planning to INCREASE Switch production in 2023 since demand is still supposedly high and that semiconductor shortages lowered Nintendo's sales in 2022.
This year is one where a hardware revision isn't unexpected, so if it's at least a somewhat meaningful revision, it's not unrealistic to result in a year that is flat or even slightly up in comparison to 2022. There are tens of millions Switch owners who have one since 3+ years and with no new Nintendo generation in sight, it becomes increasingly more likely that they'll be willing to upgrade, even if it's just a Switch revision.
Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.