Here is a reality check. In last year's thread you predicted 16M+ for PS5 sales in 2022. I predicted 10M - 11.9M. Actual sales are about 13M. In reality my prediction was closer than yours.
A good prediction is not based on what you personally think is reasonable. It's not based on what the most popular opinion is. It's also not based on whatever mathematical model for data that is most commonly used on this forum. A good prediction is the one that most accurately predicts what the sales data will be. Period.
You are saying that I am not reasonable, when my last prediction was better than yours.
When all of December gets added it might be over 14m and if not it'll be close to 14m so yours will be only slightly closer numbers wise at most. You also predicted that Europe would be the only place to see YoY growth when it was the only major region to see a YoY decline due to lack of stock there so your prediction overall was really inaccurate which should make you reconsider your PS5 expectations.
A lot under 12m doesn't make sense since probably over half of PS5 sales this year would have to be from Europe for that to happen which is completely unrealistic. If Europe is the only major region you expect the PS5 to do well in why do you expect it to sell a lot less this year when this should be the first year Europe has at least an ok amount of stock sent over?Last edited by Norion - on 11 January 2023