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At this point I'm thinking it'll get close but fall just short of this. With a 2024 holiday launch I expect that it'd be close to 150m by the end of that year but assuming the successor is backwards compatible I doubt it'll sell over 10m after it launches so even if it's that far off still I imagine it'll get pretty close to becoming number 1 but not quite reach it. With a 2025 launch it'd for sure do it though but I doubt Nintendo will wait that long.

2022: 121m

2023: 136m

2024: 146m

2025+: 155m 

This is a reasonable scenario of where it'll end up so overtaking the DS is in play but overtaking the PS2 seems unlikely.

Last edited by Norion - on 08 January 2023