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Kai_Mao said:

Depends on the games outside of what’s confirmed/planned. But I think the Switch’s momentum hasn’t declined significantly as some presumed so there may be months where the Switch is near the top in the US and European markets while battling the XS and PS5 which are getting more stock at retail. Plus, there are no signs that the PS5 will catch up with the Switch on a weekly basis in Japan (both hardware and software) even when the Switch is on the decline.

Yeah this year Switch will be crushing the competition in Japan, be below PS5 but well above Xbox in Europe, and it should be close between all three in the US but Switch will likely drift down to a consistent third there. And Switch's holiday season will likely be lower than PS5 and maybe just on par or slightly better than Xbox.

Overall Switch will easily outsell Xbox this year but PS5 will probably beat it by a few million. Maybe Xbox does like 12-13m, Switch does ~16m, and PS5 19-20m.