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Yeah definitely expect a big year of game releases for the Switch. Numerous big games will probably come out this year. Zelda, 2D Mario, and Prime 4 would seem to be the obvious major games to come out this year, but with plenty more first party games as well.

HW under 15m is very unlikely, Switch is still very strong. It could be 17-18 million if Nintendo actively tries lol, like with HW and SW discounts. But I think 16m is a good prediction. I mean 15m would literally be just 2m, 2m, 2m, 9m for the quarters. Holiday might be under 9m next year but the other quarters should all definitely be over 2m. I could see something 3m, 3m, 2m, >8m for the quarters which would be >16m.