Slownenberg on 30 December 2022
I'm gonna say 4m in Japan, 15-16m globally.
I had been thinking 17-18m but 2022 looks to be about 1.5m lower than what I had expected this year (though Japan was exactly what I expected) so the slowdown is definitely coming.
Unless Nintendo actually takes steps to sell more systems like a HW price drop ($170/$250/$300), SW price drops to $30 or $40 on a bunch of first party games, more impressive bundles over the holidays, put out a big final wave of games consumers would like (i.e. DK, SF, Prime remake, Prime 4, WW/TP, Kid Icarus, 2D Mario, etc). If they really try to actively maximize sales with competitive practices and have a lot of software in the works coming out I could see that blunt the sales drop and Switch selling 17m.
