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curl-6 on 09 December 2022
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Kyuu said:
curl-6 said:

I mean, the numbers will always be estimates; even after the reports, VGC still has to guesstimate how much sold in each week or region, how much was on shelves or transit vs sold through, etc.

All I'm saying is, it's not always a case of "PS5 undertracked Switch overtracked" despite some insisting every single week that it is.

And what I'm saying is that without quarterly reports, VGC's weekly estimates are much weaker. NPD rankings can still be adjusted around in ways that favor Switch and Xbox.

Yeah it's certainly not "always" the case but there is a clear pattern. Personally, I just can't ignore Sony's insistence and confidence that they're producing a crap ton of PS5's for this quarter and the next.

I agree we should always strive to improve the methodology and prediction methods based on past patterns. My only claim was that it's not always a case of x overtracked and y undertracked, that it's more nuanced than that.

Recently we do tend to see certain patterns recur more often, yeah, and that should absolutely be looked into and the formula subsequently tweaked.