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I think there's a chance of MK8 Wii U & Switch outselling Wii Sports, but it would be by the slimmest of margins.

~51 or 52 million by the end of this year

~60 million by the end of 2023

~65 or 66 million by the end of 2024

Would still need about 8 or 9 million through the remainder of its life.