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mjk45 said:

And I'm just highlighting that the pessimism was there and like you said that 80 million had to go somewhere but at that time we had seen it shrink from around 220million to that 80 million figure so whether or not the Switch would stabilise that trend was up in the air.

80m would be an significant increase following Wii U which is the point when you add 3DS and Vita sales you have 90m so 3DS numbers alone was always the reasonable minimum especially as a hybrid device would benefit from games like mainline Pokemon which home consoles never got. The only way for such a decline would be for the portable market to literally crash as it was clear at that point Mobile was never replacing traditional and when you have a monopoly on a market the market itself has to crash as the monopoly is the stability.