Nintendo Switch reached LTD shipments of 114.33m by September 30th, so it added 21.46m to its total since the last time we had this poll.
The ranges in the poll are different ones once again, because the predictions for Nintendo hardware vary greatly as you can see in the results of the previous two polls. This time the ranges are narrower to make things more challenging, plus we are obviously getting closer to the end of Switch's lifecycle.
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The first poll was conducted in June 2020; half of its votes landed below Switch's current LTD and less than 15% of the votes have a realistic chance of being correct remaining. The second poll is from November 2021; only one year later half of its votes are in danger of being too low yet again.
| Nintendo Switch shipped 55.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations? | |||
| Less than 80 million | 71 | 5.77% |
|
| 80.0 - 89.9 million | 87 | 7.07% |
|
| 90.0 - 99.9 million | 148 | 12.02% |
|
| 100.0 - 109.9 million | 322 | 26.16% |
|
| 110.0 - 119.9 million | 228 | 18.52% |
|
| 120.0 - 129.9 million | 191 | 15.52% |
|
| 130.0 - 139.9 million | 60 | 4.87% |
|
| 140.0 - 149.9 million | 28 | 2.27% |
|
| 150.0 - 160.0 million | 21 | 1.71% |
|
| More than 160 million | 75 | 6.09% |
|
| 1,231 |
| Nintendo Switch shipped 92.87m by September 30th. Lifetime sales expectations? | |||
| Less than 110 million | 35 | 4.05% |
|
| 110.0 - 119.9 million | 88 | 10.19% |
|
| 120.0 - 129.9 million | 176 | 20.37% |
|
| 130.0 - 139.9 million | 183 | 21.18% |
|
| 140.0 - 149.9 million | 130 | 15.05% |
|
| 150.0 - 159.9 million | 142 | 16.44% |
|
| 160.0 - 169.9 million | 55 | 6.37% |
|
| 170.0 - 179.9 million | 11 | 1.27% |
|
| 180.0 - 190.0 million | 7 | 0.81% |
|
| More than 190 million | 37 | 4.28% |
|
| 864 |
Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.
