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Do you guys think Ring Fit can outsell both Wii Fit titles (obviously not combined)? I think there's definitely a good possibility. Only needs about 8 million over the remainder of the Switch's life. I could see it selling about 23 million, possibly even 25 million by the end of its life, so it's a yes from me. I could even see it remaining in the top 10, although barely.

Also, about the point of Switch having 14 games with over 10 million sales, I could see it even having close to 25 games with 10 million sales at the end of its life. Looking at what has been released and announced, I can see the following titles reach 10 million:

Forgotten Land, SV, TOTK, Switch Sports, Bowser's Fury, Mario Maker 2, Monster Hunter Rise, Mario Party Superstars, Splatoon 3. That brings us to 23 games. If there is another Pokemon game after SV (like probably a Crystal remake), that would be an easy 10 million. If the next mainline Mario game is on Switch, that also should be an easy 10 million. If the rumors of a DK game are true, I can potentially see that being a 10 million seller.

Ultimately, it's not set in stone that Switch will have 25 games exceed 10 million because it depends on things that haven't been announced and are largely just speculation, but I would say that we are guaranteed 23 games.

Switch could have 2 games exceed 50 million sales, 6 or even 7 games exceeding 30 million sales and over 10 games exceeding 20 million sales.

@znake You mean March 2023, not March 2024 for 123-125 million. Based on your prediction when do you see a Switch successor launching and do you factor in potential new models/price cuts?