Hard to say. The U.S. is a very competitive market right now. It will probably come down to either the PS5 or Switch. The Switch held the #1 spot for units sold every month from February to July and supply has been steady, so it's definitely still doing well enough to be a contender. The PS5 has been all over the place this year, but improved stock resulted in it taking the #1 spot in August & September. Whether that's a surge from pent-up demand or a hint towards an actual baseline is hard to say, but in any case the PS5 could take the holiday season, but only if there's enough stock. The XBS was a consistent #2 from January to July, so it's unlikely to be #1 this holiday season.
If the Switch takes this one, it will probably be the last, at least in the U.S. Next year will come down to the PS5 vs. XBS.
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In accordance to the VGC forum rules, §8.5, I hereby exercise my right to demand to be left alone regarding the subject of the effects of the pandemic on video game sales (i.e., "COVID bump").
