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Hmm, PS5 does have some big launches that can help Sony achieve this FFXVI and Spiderman 2 namely. Add on that increase in production/supply, it doesn't seem THAT unbelievable imo. Actually, I think FFVII Rebirth is supposed to release in that fiscal year as well so another potential hardware mover there.

Edit: I'll personally say PS5 will do 22-25 million, even given some potentially mega releases 30 million just seems insane to me. That said, I hope they can do it, would be quite a crazy year.