Lowball Switch Sales Prediction:
March 2022: 107.65M
(18 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2023: 125.65M
(12 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2024: 137.65M
(5 Million Fiscal Year, Switch 2 releases)
March 2025: 142M
Lowball Switch Prediction: ~143 Million Sold
Based on this, it's pretty much impossible at this point that the Switch will sell below 140 Million, even a super pessimistic/lowball prediction should put the Switch at least above the 140 Million mark at the minimum. So even if the Switch falls off hard it still will be within the PS2/DS's reach.
Realistic Switch Sales Prediction:
March 2022: 107.65M
(20 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2023: 127.65M
(16 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2024: 143.65M
(8 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2025: 151.65M
(3 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2026: 154.65M
Realistic Switch Prediction:~157 Million Sold
In my opinion, this is the most realistic sales scenario for the Switch. However even I feel like I was lowballing this prediction just a little bit, it's just uncertain to predict when Nintendo will release its successor. However, Nintendo easily has the capability to sell even more with the Switch, I'm just unsure if they actually will.A realistic Switch sales scenario should hover the Switch around PS2/DS levels.
Optimistic Switch Sales Prediction:
March 2022: 107.65M
(21 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2023: 128.65M
(19 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2024: 147.65M
(13 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2025: 160.65M
(6 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2026: 166.65M
(3 Million Fiscal Year)
March 2027:169.65M
Optimistic Prediction: ~171 Million Sold
I think the Switch could legitimately sell anywhere between 140M-175M lifetime. I am leaning towards the Switch selling in the upper 150 Million range right now, around 157 Million.
