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curl-6 said:
archbrix said:

I don't think anything below 15m for Switch sales next year is realistic but I believe it will be another pretty big year for the system as far as releases.  I could see 15m-16m low end.

But no, the DS fell hard from 17.52m to 5.1m the following year.  Switch will be going from 21m (projected) to 15m minimum, fiscal years aligned.

Yeah so long as the Switch isn't replaced next year and doesn't see a Wii 2012/Wii U 2016 scenario where software dries up, it should be able to do better than 15m for 2023, which would be absolutely insane for a 7th calendar year.

It's hard to say at this point though as so much depends on when the next system arrives and how they handle the transition to it.

At any rate, Switch's legs so far have been very strong. Anyone know the strongest 6th year a system has had? Cos Switch 2022 could be one of the record books if things go well over the next few months. It's on track to top even the DS I believe.

DS shipped 17.52 million in FY ending March 2011, it’s 6th full fiscal year.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.