Slownenberg on 25 August 2022
| ShadowLink93 said: Seems like most people are thinking around 17m for 2023 but what will determine if switch passes PS2 will be 2024, will switch have a relatively soft drop and decline from a hypothetical 17m to around 10m or will it do a DS and fall to 5m. |
With a price cut next Summer/Fall I see 18 million. Very possible there is no price cut though, but I doubt it would affect '23 sales by more than a million.
In 2024, if Switch 2 hits holiday '24, Switch does perhaps 10-11m (putting it at ~152m by end of 2024, inching its way past PS2 by end of life). If Switch 2 isn't until Spring 2025, so Switch gets the full holiday season, it probably does more like 14m putting it at 155m meaning it is passing PS2 by the time successor launches and ends up 160m+.
