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For it to sell over 30 million it will need Smash Bros levels of staying power in charts for the next 5 years. Switch successor is likely coming much before it (2025 likely) software sales are going to collapse until 2027. I don't see how it can move an average of 1.25 million every quarter for it to cross 30 million in the next 20 quarters. 

It took 2 months to reach 5 million, after all. I don't even think it will move another 1.5 million in the current quarter

Whoever voted for under 10 million is delusional. It's a family friend title released out of the Christmas window and sold 5 million already it will pass short 10 million without breaking a sweat

I voted for 15-20 million, but I will track the sales the next 2 quarters and see if I makes sense to move the goalpost for 20 million 

If it's re-released on Switch 2 with some kind of DLC included and considering the next console isn't backwards compatatible then I can see a chance for it to cross 30 million mark, Nintendo fans love to rebuy games 

Last edited by IcaroRibeiro - on 14 August 2022