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yo33331 said:
curl-6 said:

4m for Switch in Japan for 2022?

It's more than halfway there already, and the holiday season, which is typically the best time of year for sales, is yet to come. Even if it saw no holiday boost at all, and just kept selling at the rate it has so far, it would come close to 4m already.

Granted, anything can happen, they could for example announce a successor before the end of the year and slow sales that way, but barring that, 4m for the year when it's at 2.4 million in mid July seems a bit of a low ball.

Yes, but the sales are declining and till october (when sales boost because of the holiday period) Switch will probably fall to 50k or 40k weekly. Which will slow down the pace. It's 2.4M now but in the first months of this year Switch had very strong weeks above 100k, and as the months move on Switch decline to 80k than 60k (there were even few weeks below 60k) and I am expecting falling to 50K or even weeks of 40k before october. It's not like every month or week are selling equal units. With the decline it has and will probably continue, without holiday boost I would say between 3M and 3.5M range. Thanks to the holiday boost that it will have I say 4M to 4.5M. And yes the 4M is the low side. That's why I am also saying 4.5M as it's higher option.

Time will tell; I'll make a note of your 4m claim and we'll just have to wait and see.