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The_Liquid_Laser said:
Norion said:

It's not just about Japan though, there's also RoW and that will make up a much bigger share of Japan + RoW than the former. Even if the PS5 only does about Vita level sales in Japan RoW will still be enough to easily exceed 17m. It'll likely do more than 17m with just RoW so it flopping in Japan doesn't really make much difference to the likelihood of your prediction unless there's indicators of it also doing poorly in RoW in the future.

Most of RoW has gaming tastes similar to Japan (S. Korea, China, Taiwan, etc...).  PS5 will not be popular there either.

Considering the PS4 is the 2nd best selling console ever in RoW and ended not that far behind the PS2 while in Japan it did worse than the PS3 it's clear that the tastes are not similar enough for the sales between the two to be linked to each other. There's also that the 360 did well in RoW and even the Xbox One did ok instead of basically not existing like in Japan so if anything there's a stronger link in sales between RoW and the west and the PS5 will definitely do better there than Japan.

Last edited by Norion - on 17 July 2022