The_Liquid_Laser said:
There are several indicators that PS5 will do very poorly. However, if you are only looking at hardware numbers you won't see them. These are more qualitative factors rather than simply looking at hardware quantities. Here are the indicators: -PS5 software sales are terrible, worse than the Wii U, godawful terrible These qualitative factors are actually more important than early hardware numbers. It can be hard to know what is going on based purely on hardware data with a chip shortage and scalpers affecting sales numbers. But if you just take a step back and look at qualitative factors, then you can assess whether a system is going to be great or a turd before it even hits the market. For Generation 8, it was quite possible to predict the Wii U was going to flop and the PS4 was going to be a runaway success just based on their E3 presentations (and also XB1's presentation). By the same token, it should be obvious (especially by now) the PS5 is not going to do well in Japan. Software sales are terrible. The competition is too strong. There are a lot of chips stacked against the PS5. |
It's not just about Japan though, there's also RoW and that will make up a much bigger share of Japan + RoW than the former. Even if the PS5 only does about Vita level sales in Japan RoW will still be enough to easily exceed 17m. It'll likely do more than 17m with just RoW so it flopping in Japan doesn't really make much difference to the likelihood of your prediction unless there's indicators of it also doing poorly in RoW in the future.
Last edited by Norion - on 15 July 2022