yo33331 said:
I am expecting good sales. PS3 had good sales. It is very likely to pass PS3. But if shortages continues to be a problem for let's say the next 2 years as some rumors suggested and XBOX will only increase it's speed as we are going more into the generation PS5 may not reach the PS4 levels and do numbers around 13-15M in it's peak years, with doing maybe 12-13M for this and the year after if shortages continue to be a problem. Also if Sony repeats the same mistake as PS4 it's last 2 years on market may see a decent declines in sales to previous years. Not doing price cut when neccessary, announcing next gen console more than 2 full years prior and not sending enough stock in the years when next console release and after that combined with little to no marketing or ads for it's dying years. If the stock improves by next year then sure it will pass PS3 but again with better competition now (yes I even count Nintendo) it will be difficult to reach PS4 lifetime. So while shortages last I expect no more than 12-13M a year. If shortages ends then it may go up to 15-16M but because of better competition than PS4 peak years (2015,2016,2017,2018) in face of Nintendo and Microsoft I don't expect having the same peak years as PS4 (18-20M). If they picked the moment (now, the first 2 years of the gen) with having full stock, then yes, surely it would do much better sales, but now is very important period and if they don't start improving the stock now it may be too late after that. |
I do agree it'll be difficult to reach the PS4 lifetime, at this point I think that's really unlikely. I could potentially see it having peak years as good as the PS4 due to pent up demand but it will have a lower average per year for sure.
