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Sogreblute on 22 May 2022
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Pinkie_pie said:
Otter said:

For me I see it very unlikely the PS5 will sell less than 8m

Even if it experienced the same decline PS4 experienced, it would look something like this PS3 10.4m > PS4 9.5m > PS5 8m

The only thing stopping it from currently eclipsing PS4 sales at the same point in its life is the shortages and where that is concerned its actually down globablly way more than it is in Japan, meaning we shouldn't expect Japan to be hit worst by shortages going forward compared to other regions. Since sony is expecting a 40% increase in production this fiscal year I'm not expecting Japan to be left out of those increased shipments. There will of course be some dreadful weeks, but that is inconsequential in the bigger context.

Beyond that, I thought everyone had the belief that Japanese demand was being prepped up by international scalpers? Just another reason why it extremely unlikely retail figures for Japan will sit below 8m when all is said and done. Demand in surrouinding countries will continue to impact Japanese sales of hardware.

It depends how long sony continue to produce ps5 after ps6 releases. Ps3 sold 1 million more in japan because it continued selling for 3 years after the ps4 released. It was also $100. Sony ceased production of almost all Ps4 model right after ps5 released and didn't have any price cuts for years

I think part of the reason the PS3 kept selling "well" in Japan after PS4 came out was a lot of Japanese games still kept coming to the system. Some of which weren't even on the PS4. Because of this if you didn't have a PS3 or PS4 it was cheaper to just get a PS3 and it had a big library to choose from, whereas the PS4 was just getting started. If the PS4 had backwards compatibility it would have helped to bring more people over, but that wasn't the case.
I'll list a few examples of big releases in Japan that came out on PS3 while the PS4 was out.

Legend of Heroes Trails of Cold Steel 2, Atelier Sophie, Tales of Berseria, Dynasty Warriors 8 Empires, Dragon Ball Xenoverse, Dragon Quest Builders, Dragon Quest Heroes 2, Resident Evil Revelations 2, Metal Gear Solid 5, Attack on Titan, and Yakuza 0.