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curl-6 said:
Norion said:

We're not in 2018 though which for the PS5 and Xbox Series would be the equivalent of 2015 for the Switch. By April 2015 it was very clear that the PS4 would do a lot better than the PS3 and the Xbox One a lot worse than the 360 since the sales potential of Playstation and Xbox consoles get decently locked in quick. Stock issues do muddy the waters some but the PS5 getting a notable surge when the supply issue is fixed would at best make it fall behind permanently about the same time the PS4 did. I'm confident in saying that the PS5's best years will be a lot lower than the Switch's since its 2020 and 2021 sales are massive.

Even in early 2020 nobody foresaw the Switch skyrocketing the way it did. The pent up demand for the PS5 is enormous, once its available in sufficient supply I see no reason it can't hit similar highs as the Switch.

The reason I can't see that happening is pretty strong competition from Xbox this time. I could perhaps see its peak year potentially falling into the 20-22m range due to pent up demand but would be quite surprised if it had a year in the 25-28m range. The latter would indicate it selling better than the PS4 which I see as very unlikely at this point.