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curl-6 on 21 April 2022
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Norion said:
curl-6 said:

Never say never; the shortages of the early 9th gen may lead to a longer than usual generation as Sony and MS try to make sure they get their money's worth out of their current consoles. PS5 could pull a Switch and go into overdrive in year 4 or something, once supply is no longer strangling it.

I concur it seems unlikely at this point that PS5 will catch up to the Switch, but I'm sure in 2015 most folks would have said the successor to the Wii U would have absolutely no chance of outselling the PS4, yet look where we stand now.

The gaming market is extremely hard to accurately predict beyond the short term.

We're not in 2018 though which for the PS5 and Xbox Series would be the equivalent of 2015 for the Switch. By April 2015 it was very clear that the PS4 would do a lot better than the PS3 and the Xbox One a lot worse than the 360 since the sales potential of Playstation and Xbox consoles get decently locked in quick. Stock issues do muddy the waters some but the PS5 getting a notable surge when the supply issue is fixed would at best make it fall behind permanently about the same time the PS4 did. I'm confident in saying that the PS5's best years will be a lot lower than the Switch's since its 2020 and 2021 sales are massive.

Even in early 2020 nobody foresaw the Switch skyrocketing the way it did. The pent up demand for the PS5 is enormous, once its available in sufficient supply I see no reason it can't hit similar highs as the Switch.