Prediction: The Switch will become the best selling console yet!

[Bofferbrauer2]

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Number 3 is pretty much guaranteed.

As for number 2, Nintendo hasn't announced much during the pandemic but instead said that many things were in the works, so I guess we'll get a nice load of game announcement at their E3 presentation this year.

And about Number 1, does it really? 3 Reasons why I think this doesn't have to be:

1. If you include the inflation, $149.99 would be more comparable to the cheapest PS2 price, so let's set this as a more realistic bar. But even then,
2. Did the PS2 and DS really sold that many consoles at that price tag to make much of a difference? I very much doubt it.
3. The much cheaper Lite gets outsold 4:1 on a normal, non-supply limited day in Japan by the $100 more expensive base model, and I'm sure the rest of the world have similar ratios. So I think the value proposition is much more important than just the raw price.

Actually, one thing we can comment on is this topic that was discussed about a year ago.  If you look at the 4 points mentioned 1 and 4 are still too early to tell.  However 2 and 3 have very clearly happened.  Switch's successor is not coming early next year.  As for software, he specifically mentions MK9 and Pokemon Gen 9, and we have Pokemon Gen 9 coming this year and massive MK8 dlc.  We also have Splatoon 3 this year and BotW 2 next Spring.  Lastly we have Switch Sports which has the potential to move more hardware than any of these other heavy hitters, because it could reach a new customer base that the Switch hasn't reached yet.

Other than that, I want to say that Switch is in its 6th year, and it still seems too early for a price cut.  

With how the inflation is going, I'm not expecting any price cut coming anytime soon.

At a local store I could get the LCD Switch 30€ cheaper (270€ vs 300€ everywhere else), which is pretty much like a price cut for me already, and I don't expect the main Switch model (as in, non-lite or potential similar future model) to ever go under 250€/$. Electronic parts have become much more expensive in the last 2-3 years, which is why I don't expect any of the current gen consoles to get much in terms of price cuts during their lifetime at all, as instead of becoming cheaper to produce, most of them are actually more expensive for the producers than during their respective releases.