By the time 2024 comes around and a Switch successor has launched mobile hardware will be at a point where it could match the performance of a Series S, yes. However, expecting this to be in a product that is supposed to sell for sub-400 and powered by 10-15 watts is not likely to happen. Nintendo's history with mobile hardware shows that they aren't going to go for the most powerful product, and the recent Nvidia leak practically confirms this.
That being said, there is additional information that I would like to share. We know that the leak mentions Orin, but many don't know that the CUDA core count was found as well. It's about 1500 for the CUDA core count. GA10B has 2048 CUDA Cores with 4TFLOPS of FP32 compute @1Ghz. Given the information about the core count, Switch 2 will be capable of about 3TFLOPS of FP32 compute @1Ghz. That said, DON'T expect 1Ghz. If the Switch 2 follows it's predecessor then the clock speeds will be pretty sharply reduced (i.e. about 307Mhz-768Mhz. Therefore, portably we can expect around 1TFLOPS of performance, and docked we will get about 2.5TFLOPS docked performance. Provided all of the information in the leaks is up to date and accurate (remember things do change). Personally, I think this is VERY good even if it doesn't match the power of the Series S.
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