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RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

Ah yes, I think I know the one, was that the "Switch will sell 15 million in 2022" prediction?

I swear my memory is like a sieve. But yeah, barring a foolishly premature replacement, no way 2022 sales are that low. With the year's lineup as stellar it is, so long as Nintendo keeps their head I anticipate another year over 20 million, even with the chip shortage.

20 million break down to 3.5m per quarter from January to September (=10.5m) and 9.5m in the holiday quarter. Indeed, that's not too much to ask for even in light of chip shortages.

It'll happen.  Nintendo is predicting 4m for the worst 13 weeks regarding shortages (Jan-Mar) - averaging around 315,000 per week.  Even with that weekly average from April to September, Nintendo will not be far off from the 8.28m they managed last Q1/Q2, and demand will, of course, be much higher.

For the holiday quarter, shortages should be easing up this year, whereas last year the holidays were when stock began to have problems, so there's no reason to think that another 10m+ holiday quarter isn't in the cards for Switch in 2022.

I really don't see a scenario where the Switch does less than 22m this year, save for stock taking some unforeseen nosedive as the year goes on.

Last edited by archbrix - on 26 February 2022