| aTokenYeti said: I would have been skeptical this would be possible until Nintendos quarterly earnings call this week. Nintendo said that the switch was midway through its life. Midway, as in not nearing the end. They clearly plan to support the console for several more years. |
Remember that Nintendo said that Switch is in the middle of its life already in 2020. I think that Switch reached about 60 % of its lifetime. A successor usually launches at 80 % of a console's lifetime. In the last 20 % of a consoles life you don't sell that many units anymore.
If Switch is able to reach 160M depends on when a successor launches. If we really get Mario Kart 10/Crossroads for Switch in 2023, then DLC should come in 2024 and a successor should launch in 2025 with Mario Kart 10/Crossroads Deluxe (incl. DLC). If we only see Metroid Prime 4 as the big title for 2023 or just a few smaller Nintendo titles, then we know that Nintendo is holding back games and a successor launches in 2024 - and then I don't see any chance for 160M. I don't expect a more powerful hardware revision anymore.
If 2022 sells below 20M with Zelda BOTW 2, Splatoon 3 and Pokemon Arceus, a successor is very likely in 2024.
Last edited by siebensus4 - on 07 February 2022
