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Chrkeller said:
Norion said:

I've maintained for a while now that about 140m should be the minimum the Switch reaches so 10 and then 5 is a bit too low to me but that's close enough to 140m that I'll accept the difference. A lot of it will come down to when the successor releases.

Agreed 100%.  The Switch 2 is going to decide a lot, especially if it is full BC.  Hopefully I'm not disappointed but I expect full BC with a 2023 launch, 2024 at the latest.  

Yeah I expect the Switch to decline rapidly after the successor launches like the DS did assuming it's got BC. For the date I would've picked holiday 2023 as the most likely date in the past but if they were targeting then originally the pandemic and chip shortages very well could make them delay the launch into 2024. They'll wanna avoid the shortages that have harmed the Xbox Series and especially the PS5 as much as they can so waiting a year longer than originally planned might be what they end up doing.