Famitsu sales: Week 5, 2022 - (24th Jan - 30th Jan)

[Chrkeller]

Norion said:

I'm not surprised by the hardware boost being much lower compared to the last major Pokemon releases but just under 100k almost 5 years in is still strong and Arceus is doing amazing.

Chrkeller said:

Depends on what you mean by a cliff.  I just think it will cool off and rightfully so.  I also expect a switch 2 next year.  For sure I could be completely wrong.

Think of it this way, the Switch should do around 20m this year so the decline in 2023 and onwards would have to be massive to stop around there. The successor would have to release in Spring next year to make that possible basically.

So if next year the Switch does 10 million, 50% drop, is that a cliff?  I could see 20 million this year, 10 next and 5 after.  Puts it around (ballpark) 135 million total.