We get an Official Sales update from Nintendo on thursday 3rd February and we get numbers for new games such as Metroid Dread, Mario Party Super Stars and Pokemon BD/SP. What are your sales expectations for these three games and for Nintendo Switch overall Hardware and Software shipments?
For hardware Vgchartz data says switch sold through 2.41m in October, 3.29m in November and 5.05m in December for a FY 21-22 Q3 total of 10.75m. Personally i would be very happy if Shipments were in line with this, although down on last year it is still a huge number especially in this period of supply problems. From official information we know that switch had a great October but a disappointing November in the US and also a dissapointing December in both Japan and the US. However in Europe Switch seems to have done exceptionally well and will make up for some of the below expectation sales in Nov/Dec in Japan and the US. However Switch will fall a little bit below 10.5m because I have a feeling numbers are slightly overtracked here.
As for software this will be the biggest quarter for any single Nintendo platform ever with around 90m shipped. Metroid dread will get to 3 million (optimistic i know), MP SS will have done very well and Pokemon BD/SP will have been absolutely huge although a bit down on Pokemon SW/SH's opening of 16.06m but much bigger than Pokemon Let's go's 10.00m.
Main Predictions
NSW Hardware: 10,340,000
NSW software: 90,420,000
Metroid Dread: 3,180,0000
MP Superstars: 6,270,000
Pokemon BD/SP: 13,920,000
Full Predictions
