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Dulfite said:
aTokenYeti said:

This just seems so hard to believe though. Not saying you are wrong, but it almost feels like Sony’s first party output would have to fall off a cliff after 2022 for this to happen 

Hasn't it already, at least in terms of quantity? Count for new games (remakes allowed, remasters not, neither our exclusive third party games, nor digital only games as I'm trying to compare quantity output of bigger games):

PS4 2013 - 2 retail games

PS4 2014 - 5 retail games

PS4 2015 - 6 retail games

PS4 2016 - 6 retail games

PS4 2017 - 9 retail games

PS4 2018 - 6 retail games

PS4 2019 - 5 retail games

PS4 2020 - 6.5 (Miles Morales)

PS4 Average - 4.96 games a year

PS5 2020 - 2.5 (Miles Morales)

PS5 2021 - 4

PS5 Average (so far) - 3.25 games per year.

We know Sony will pick it up as history proves, but even comparing 2013/2014 to 2020/2021, PS4 averaged 3.5 games per year (or .25 more a year) than PS5 so far.

List Source - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Sony_Interactive_Entertainment_video_games#2020_2

It's the start of a new gen. Sonys 1st party games will ramp up but so will MS.