Switch Closes 2021 at the Top, PS5 Takes 2nd - Global Hardware Dec 26 to Jan 1

[Jumpin]

curl-6 said:

So Switch finishes 2021 just 9.1% down YOY from its calendar year peak. Not bad at all.

That cliff is so steep, that at this rate the Switch will only sell (gets out my excel) 182 million+ by the end of 2025...

Year	Yearly sale	Total
2022	23003162.18	125353162.2
2023	20909874.42	146263036.6
2024	19007075.85	165270112.5
2025	17277431.95	182547544.4
2026	15705185.64	198252730
2027	14276013.75	212528743.8
2028	12976896.5	225505640.3
2029	11795998.92	237301639.2
2030	10722563.01	248024202.2
2031	9746809.78	257771012
2032	8859850.09	266630862.1
2033	8053603.731	274684465.8
2034	7320725.792	282005191.6
2035	6654539.745	288659731.4
2036	6048976.628	294708708
2037	5498519.755	300207227.7
2038	4998154.457	305205382.2
2039	4543322.402	309748704.6
2040	4129880.063	313878584.7
2041	3754060.977	317632645.6
2042	3412441.428	321045087.1
2043	3101909.258	324146996.3
2044	2819635.516	326966631.8
2045	2563048.684	329529680.5
2046	2329811.254	331859491.8
2047	2117798.43	333977290.2
2048	1925078.773	335902369
2049	1749896.604	337652265.6
2050	1590656.013	339242921.6

I feel bad for the fucking customer who got only the 0.95 of a Switch that year, but it looks like in 2026 all the partial Switches sold even themselves out. That's at the current rate, any number of things could happen with the Switch between now and 2050. A new killer app like Pokemon on GB could release late in its lifespan to vastly increase sales, Nintendo might suffer a PR disaster tanking sales, but maybe new markets in Africa will open up after the discovery of some super element or compound buried deep beneath the Kongo, OR it might be Nintendo releases a new form factor for the system bumping sales into whole new markets, or Nintendo might release a successor causing sales to rapidly decrease, or Nintendo might find a whole new market of popular use for motion controls booming the sales. It's hard to say, no one can predict what happens in the future! Any of these things are possible! 

Last edited by Jumpin - on 16 January 2022