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SvennoJ said:

The good stuff is coming
https://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2022-01-05-playstation-vr2-tech-specs-revealed

https://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2022-01-05-horizon-call-of-the-mountain-announced-for-playstation-vr2

Battle of the VR headsets, coming 2023. Instead of tracking handhelds.

I have no idea when, but doubt PSVR2 will be out this year. I hope so of course, Q4 would be awesome, but Q4 2023 seems more realistic.

I would agree with your timeline if it weren't for the fact that they talked it up at CES.  CES is a tradeshow focused mostly on tech that will launch this year. It is certainly possible that it will get delayed, but I'm 90% confident that Sony is trying to get it out this year. 

If I had to bet, I'd bet on 2022.  I wouldn't bet very much though.