Zippy6 said:
There's zero evidence that Switch shortages have reduced sell-through by as much as 4 million. Nintendo's forecast was only reduced by 1.5m and there's no guarantee that if they shipped an extra 1.5m they would have sold-through an extra 1.5m. 2022 sales will certainly be down on 2021. Switch peaked in 2020, it will decline with every subsequent year till it ends. |
On top of this point, there is always a percentage of people that, due to the thing they want not being available, move on to getting something else instead (other form of entertainment). So subtract that number as well. If there were 1.5 million that couldn't get one, certainly not all of those people were happy to wait until one was available and instead bought something else (maybe not even a game console but some other form of entertainment). Consumers are very impatient, especially parents buying for their kids around the holidays.
