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Nintendo will have a strong 2022 hardware and software-wise and I don't think 2023 will drop hard, it will be another successful year for the Nintendo Switch. Therefore, in my opinion, a successor will not come out before March 2024 and maybe even not before 2025, especially, if they still release a Switch Pro which isn't from the table. Surely, 2023 will need again appealing software, 2024 will probably have less interesting new releases but it will be enough to juggle along together with their huge back catalog and there are still possible prise-cuts to be made.