zorg1000 said:
Dulfite said:
Games take 3-5 years to make. That means if they were planning to release Switch 2 in 2023 dating back to 2017 based on their historical cycles, then games for launch window of Switch 2 would have to start being made no later than 2020 but as early as 2018 (if a bigger game). The few games we know are coming for Switch 1 like Botw 2, MP4, etc. don't paint the full picture of what they have going on behind the scenes. There is no way they could start working on games next year 2022 with the hope of launching in time for 2023, which I'm sure they were initially aiming for. They plan their cycles out years ahead of time, it is entirely too inefficient and resource wasting to delay consoles based on the idea of squeezing the milk to the last drop. They'd rather sell 20 million Switch 2's in a year than an additional 10 million Switch 1's by delaying Switch 2, I guarantee that. Also, the reason the ports did so well on Switch from Wii U is because hardly anyone bought Wii U's (I did). Those games had huge sales potential on a much more popular device. Porting Switch 1 games to Switch 2 may still be worth it, but they won't sell nearly as much as the Wii U Ports because Switch has fantastic sales and most that wanted to experience those games will have already. |
The problem is assuming Nintendo planned a 5-6 year console cycle when they have explicitly stated otherwise. |
No, they are saying it now with vague wording that could easily be misinterpreted. And they started the midlife terms over a year ago, I think early 2020. If they normally have a 6 year cycle, the 2020 would be year 3 starting in March and 2021 would be year 4, both of which fall in the middle two years of a 6 year cycle. Nothing new there.
Also, you really think from the start, back in 2017, when historically they always had roughly 6 year cycles, and coming off a bomb in the Wii U that was only out 4.5 years before being replaced, that they had the audacity to assume Switch would sell so well that they knew from that point they wouldn't launch the successor until a year or two later than they usually do? They would have had no reason to be that confident after Wii U.
