Bayonetta is just 2022, BotW 2 is aiming for 2022. I think that's a difference. The Zelda developers showed they're not 100% sure about it.
To be honest, I don't think any developer is 100% sure about the launch date until the game goes gold. I honestly think the fact that they even have a release window for the game, despite years of not telling us anything, means they are more confident than not.