The Wii experienced a baby drop of 2.3m down to 22.52m in 2009 from its peak of 24.82 in 2008. It's first significant drop was a 5.33m decrease to 17.19 in 2010. If 2021 is the initial baby drop from its 2020 peak, then I don't expect the Switch's first significant drop to be greater than the Wii's 5m drop. Of course it all depends on how many Switches Nintendo is able to sell by the end of this holiday season. But, I decided to be bold and went with the 22-25m option in the poll.