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I would be very confident about predicting 15 million for the first three and 11 million for the other two. I feel like in 2022 we’re going to start seeing a reduction in Nintendo evergreen sales that have been amazing so far, and I feel like that’s going to affect some of the newer titles on the list when we get past Christmas 2022 and Switch stops being the hot item and bringing in a lot of new players. No doubt they’ve still got planned a couple of big games that bring people flocking back to the hardware for shorter periods during 2023 and beyond.
However I mostly see the newer titles needing to have bigger launches than the older games to sell almost as much as the older games as they’re less likely to chart well for multiple years.