“that exceeds what we previously considered to be a conventional hardware lifecycle.”
That was a line that really stood out to me from Furukawa.
I kind of think of a conventional hardware lifecycle as being 6-7 years.
Maybe eight years for a very successful one with a long lifespan is moving beyond a conventional hardware lifecycle.
With hardware starting to reach a level of 3D performance that’s getting harder to noticeably beat, and foundries starting to slow down the rate at which they achieve improvements at higher costs I think there’s reason to start shifting towards thinking of eight year cycles.
It’s the statement that made me feel less certain of my September-November 2024 prediction for the Switch successor and got me wondering about a potential March 2025 launch.







