Master analyst, Michael Pachter, predicts that Switch will not sell near Wii.

[Dulfite]

Agente42 said:

Kakadu18 said:

Why do so many people think every Nintendo console only has a life span of 5 years?

only look at the bad sales and miss the good sales.

NES, GB, DS, SNES, WII, 3DS are not Nintendo consoles. 

Only counts N64, GC, Wiiu

NES 1983

SNES 1990

N64 1996

GC 2001

Wii 2006

Wii U 2012

Switch 2017

Some had short windows of 5 or less years, but on average about 6 year gap between each. However, over the last 4 new generations, that average is closer to 5 between each gen, including going from the highly successful Wii to the Wii U.

This is one of the many reasons I think Nintendo releasing in 2024 or later would be uncharacteristic of them, seeing as that would be 7+ years later and they historically do 6 year cycles and lately closer to 5 year cycles.