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I think 2mil is reasonable. It could have sold 800k or even over 900k up until the end of the quarter. Who knows? It likely won't be the best selling WarioWare sadly.
With 2mil it would be third though.

https://vgsales.fandom.com/wiki/Wario#:~:text=WarioWare%20is%20a%20series%20of,over%2021.73%20million%20copies%20worldwide.