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Kakadu18 on 04 November 2021
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Zippy6 said:
Kakadu18 said:

In 2016 Nintendo only released very few games, their Switch launch year lineup was in active development. Super Mario Odyssey, Xenoblade Chronicles 2, Arms, Fire Emblem Warriors, Splatoon 2 (this game has more differences than you give it credit). Only BotW was crossgen and MK8DX got alot of new content. Unless you expect three or more crossgen releases and an actual ton of ports, not just two.

You're listing some games here that came out 7+ months after launch though. It just seems silly that because Nintendo has announced a lot of games coming in 2022 that the following 2 years are going to be completely barren.

Look at the day-one 1st party launch titles for the last 3 Nintendo consoles:

3DS:
nintendogs + cats:
Pilotwings Resort

WiiU:
New Super Mario Bros U
Nintendo Land

Switch:
BOTW
1-2-Switch
Snipperclips

Nintendo don't launch a system with an army of content and just because they are releasing Splatoon 3, Kirby, Arceus and BOTW 2 next year doesn't mean that they won't be able to launch a system Holiday 2023. They only need one big game to launch and then follow up in the following months with more content just as they did with Switch. Saying they can't have a lineup of content for Switch 2 starting Holiday 2023 continuing through to Summer 2024 because of 2022 releases is worrying.

If Nintendo have no unannounced major titles that can launch Holiday 2023 to Summer 2024 to support a new Holiday 2023 launch I would be incredibly worried.

Obviously they can have a line up of games in Switch 2's first year. But no new games from quite a few franchises unless the already announced games for next year are already almost the entire lineup for the year and we won't get any Mario platformer or Fire Emblem game etc. so that those can release on the next system. But even then the Switch 2 would lack it's own Zelda and Splatoon games for way to long. Smash Bros. too, no way a new one is launching before 2025. A Luigi's Mansion game could be a first year title though and Metroid Prime 4, maybe Mario Party.

I just don't see them launching the Switch successor right after the year of a new 3D Zelda game. Because of the pandemic they pushed many games back. I think they also delayed the next console.

I do think they should not have an empty, barren year before the launch of a new system again and with a different lineup in 2022 I might have agreed with a 2023 launch, but now with a Zelda game.

All of Dulfite's arguments completely ignore though, that Furukawa said in 2020 that the Switch was in the middle of it's life. Following that 2024 would be the logical launch year for the next system, not 2023. A 6 year life cycle would not be longer than usual, which is what Furukawa said the Switch would have.