Can The Switch become the best selling video game console in Japan?

[PAOerfulone]

You can pretty much copy and paste what Rol said onto my post. Because that's what I was going to say almost note for note.

The Switch, while past its peak after this year, still has A LOT of gas left in the tank. As evidenced by what Nintendo has planned so far for next year.
In 2022, we'll have Pokemon Legends: Arceus, Splatoon 3, Bayonetta 3, Kirby and the Forgotten Land, and Breath of the Wild 2. Then, for 3rd parties we've got Triangle Strategy and Monster Hunter Rise: Sunbreak. Now that we're in Year 5, approaching Year 6, of the Switch, all of the 3rd parties who realized by Year 2 that the Switch was going to be a big success and started rapidly scrambling to develop their games for it, have started to show the fruits of their labor and that's going to continue well into next year.

Plus, there's going to be some more Nintendo 1st party stuff that they haven't announced yet. We're due for new Fire Emblem, DKC, and Yoshi games. We're also due for a new game from Monolith Soft, whether it's Xenoblade 3 or a new IP entirely. We're due for the next 3D Mario game after Odyssey, since it has now been 4 years since that game came out. Also Pokemon Gen 9 is going to happen at some point, if not next year than the year after that. And last but not least, Metroid Prime 4 - which is looking more and more likely to be the Switch's swan song, whenever that game is released.

The Switch's library, as impressive as it is now, is only going to get higher and higher. With all that going for it, I would be shocked if a Switch successor gets released at any point sooner than Spring 2024. Because that would mark 7 years since the Switch came out, and if the PS3, PS4, and Xbox One could each get 7 year cycles, the 360 even got an 8 year cycle, before their successors came out, why can't the same be true for Switch? Especially now that this will more than likely be Nintendo's only line of hardware moving forward and the consequences for a mistimed launch this time around are FAR steeper than they would have been if they maintained their separate console and handheld divisions. Because back then, if they botched the launch of their console, they at least had their handheld to fall back on. But now? If they botch the launch of Switch 2 by releasing it too soon and/or not having a strong launch lineup for it, they're in trouble.

Last edited by PAOerfulone - on 02 November 2021